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CBO: Federal deficits and debt to worsen over next decade

Left 100% Center coverage: 6 sources Right
Washington, D.C., United States
February 11, 2026 (Updated: February 12, 2026) 0 Center Negative General AI Assisted
CBO: Federal deficits and debt to worsen over next decade
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SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
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Direction
Bullish
Confidence
75%
Impact Window
3-6 Months

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TheWkly Analysis

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that federal deficits and public debt will rise significantly over the next decade, primarily due to increased spending on Social Security, Medicare, and debt servicing. The 2026 deficit is now projected to be $100 billion higher than previously estimated, with a cumulative increase of $1.4 trillion from 2026 to 2035. Public debt is anticipated to soar from 101% to 120% of GDP, exceeding historical records. Recent policy changes, including the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," higher tariffs, and stringent immigration enforcement, have contributed to this fiscal outlook. Experts warn that growing deficits during a time of economic expansion and peace are unusual and unsustainable, emphasizing the need for bipartisan action to address the issue.

Multiple perspectives analyzed from 6 sources
What this means for you:
Potential for increased taxes or reduced government services to address rising deficits.
Possible impact on Social Security and Medicare benefits due to fiscal constraints.
Economic uncertainty that could affect job stability and wage growth.
Your Wallet
Higher deficits might nudge interest rates up, making home or car loans costlier for you. Government spending keeps jobs steady short-term, but could fuel inflation on groceries and gas. Your 401k in SPY may wobble, but it's often a dip-buying chance if wages rise.

Key Entities

  • Congressional Budget Office (CBO) - A nonpartisan federal agency that provides economic data and analysis to Congress.
  • U.S. federal government - The national government responsible for federal policies and expenditures.

Bias Distribution

6 sources
Left: 0% (0 sources)
Center: 100% (6 sources)
Right: 0% (0 sources)

Multi-Perspective Analysis

Left-Leaning View

Concerns over the impact of rising deficits on social programs and economic inequality.

Centrist View

Focus on the need for balanced fiscal policies to ensure economic stability.

Right-Leaning View

Emphasis on the potential for increased taxes and government intervention to address fiscal issues.

Source & Verification

Source: Associated Press

Status: Confirmed

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