Iran's nuclear program has been a flashpoint in international relations since the early 2000s, rooted in the country's pursuit of nuclear energy and technology amid suspicions of weapon ambitions. From the Geopolitical Analyst's lens, this timeline reveals a strategic chess game where Iran leverages its program for regional dominance, countering US and Israeli influence, while the US seeks to prevent proliferation that could destabilize the Middle East. Key actors include Iran, the US, European powers (UK, France, Germany), Russia, China, and Israel, each with interests: Iran demands sanctions relief for economic revival, the US prioritizes non-proliferation and alliance security, Europeans balance trade with security, and Israel views it as an existential threat. The International Affairs Correspondent notes cross-border ripples, including sanctions disrupting global oil markets, humanitarian impacts from Iran's economic isolation affecting millions, and migration pressures from regional instability. Talks approaching now occur against heightened Israel-Iran shadow conflicts and Houthi disruptions in Red Sea shipping lanes, implicating global trade routes. Historical context post-1979 Islamic Revolution frames Iran's nuclear push as sovereignty assertion against perceived Western imperialism, while the 2015 JCPOA represented a rare diplomatic breakthrough later undone. Regionally, the Intelligence Expert emphasizes Persian Gulf dynamics: Iran's Shia axis versus Sunni Arab states backed by the US, with nuclear tensions fueling proxy wars in Yemen, Syria, Lebanon. Cultural narratives of resistance in Iran contrast with Sunni fears of Shia hegemony. Implications extend to Europe via energy dependence, Asia through non-proliferation norms, and the Global South watching for precedents in sovereignty vs. intervention debates. Outlook hinges on upcoming talks' format—direct or indirect—amid Iran's hardened stance post-Israel strikes and US election cycles. Nuance lies in mutual deterrence: Iran avoids crossing red lines to prevent war, while the West calibrates pressure to avoid pushing Tehran toward breakout. Success requires addressing Israel's security guarantees and Iran's economic grievances, but domestic politics in both US and Iran complicate concessions.
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